Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 13.997057 15.680139 17.503514 19.628549 22.040797 24.698175 27.853089
2025-05-25 11.596738 13.868876 16.512515 19.827261 23.888619 28.723096 34.944389
2025-06-01 9.817560 12.433956 15.676032 20.015847 25.713881 32.996211 43.097731
2025-06-08 8.442282 11.257715 14.950839 20.199234 27.545658 37.581004 52.529448
2025-06-15 7.563148 10.577327 14.745918 21.012450 30.333487 43.906566 65.576212
2025-06-22 6.601092 9.630124 14.021473 20.965465 31.880893 48.737263 77.442324
2025-06-29 5.726265 8.676029 13.137804 20.524934 32.740058 52.657260 88.686881
2025-07-06 5.061024 7.940530 12.470664 20.299992 33.878926 57.194236 101.892999
2025-07-13 4.688138 7.610337 12.388137 21.003120 36.671448 65.007731 122.632547
2025-07-20 4.365220 7.315146 12.315604 21.700576 39.559050 73.507598 146.614487
2025-07-27 4.025316 6.944294 12.058746 22.019219 41.786974 81.163683 170.687161
2025-08-03 3.647672 6.458334 11.531400 21.746765 42.810795 86.606302 191.301130
2025-08-10 3.303220 5.999733 11.011439 21.443422 43.792109 92.306277 214.348879
2025-08-17 3.004910 5.592105 10.536948 21.162645 44.782656 98.254444 239.678855
2025-08-24 2.757961 5.254059 10.155425 21.018653 46.054787 105.124749 269.332836
2025-08-31 2.549364 4.967246 9.840413 20.970335 47.541730 112.834556 303.534483
2025-09-07 2.429266 4.845325 9.848997 21.642542 50.865614 125.844010 356.752194
2025-09-14 2.248841 4.577023 9.513556 21.472282 52.086336 133.683801 397.115680
2025-09-21 2.059179 4.268208 9.053029 20.937074 52.280693 138.804489 430.644286
2025-09-28 1.908237 4.027234 8.714878 20.649888 53.079547 145.812438 472.781637
2025-10-05 1.837594 3.956907 8.757236 21.324779 56.642664 161.766575 551.785461
2025-10-12 1.771579 3.889676 8.798370 22.003820 60.360122 179.137754 642.741928
2025-10-19 1.687491 3.771378 8.703008 22.305874 63.040563 193.913930 729.630820